If you average out all of the polls done so far and factor in the money being spent by Build It Now, it is hard to see this thing not passing by at least 52%. And while I have been leaning towards passage, I just can’t get past the public perception and sentiment on this issue. It is in the toilet. I rarely hear a positive thing about the project, and this is from people who actually vote. Polls are effective, if the people you are polling show up to vote. In the Nielson Brothers poll this part caught my eye;
The proposal draws least support (35% voting “yesâ€) among voters 65 years and older.
This is the largest voting block. While I still think this will be close, I am going to predict this will fail due to high voter turnout by the older generation and poor public perception;
51% – NO
49% – Yes
Voter turnout will be high, and that is evident in the absentee ballots that have been cast (over 4,000). There is a chance for snow on Tuesday, but it is supposed to be in the high 40’s. Wouldn’t that be a kicker if we have a early snowstorm?
I predict 26,000 votes will be cast.