Obviously this isn’t scientific, but I crunched the numbers, and this is what I come up with. I think a lot of supporters for Peterson, Vernon and Costello simply won’t show up unless they come out and endorse someone, I just don’t see it. Vernon has too much to stake, he has to work with one of these guys over the next two years. Peterson and Costello I just think are bitter over losing, and don’t have a dog in the fight. (I have a typo, it should be 11662 not 11667 for Staggers)
I agree that Brown won’t endorse, but the AL will in probably the Sunday edition, they’ll commend Staggers for being Staggers, but they will say Mike’s the best choice.
Since Brown won’t, I don’t see how he has higher carry over than Peterson or Costello. I think both will endorse Mike as well.
At most, Kermit will get 1/4 of those voters. These debates don’t help him seal the deal with these voters and the partisanship will probably drive a few away too. The truth is that the 15K who voted Brown, Peterson or Costello are way more concerned about Sioux Falls going backwards than they are about Red vs. Blue. “No new taxes” and “less regulation” don’t necessarily appeal to them, because they know we already have an excellent overall business climate.
And when you listen to both Candidates on their Events Center plans, Kermit loses this debate completely. He was asking for a lifeline to find privately funded & succesful facilities and when he started rambling about Madison Square Garden he lost any credibilty as someone who’s put any serious thought into this issue. He would’ve been better off saying let’s take a fresh look when I get in office.
So Janoct’s endorsement could decide the election? His 110 votes would push Staggers ahead.
I meant Huether, not Staggers…obviously.
Amazingly, yes. I have said this all along, it will either be tight as Hell with Staggers winning or a blowout for Mike.
Sy, I agree with you on many levels. But you also have to look at Kermit, he hasn’t changed his campaign at all since the 13th, and it worked the first time around. Mike’s campaign has had to adjust to the partisanship accusations.
This is up in the air.
Janoct got 155 not 110
It worked to get his flock to the polls, but he was more the benficiary of the crowded field than anything he was actually standing for, against or proposing.
The problem, L3wis, is his strategy leads one to conclude that Kermit is:
A. Inflexible
B. Tone deaf
C. a combination of the two.
Like I said after the 13th, Kermit had an opportunity to make a solid play for those voters, but would’ve had to made some adjustments to be genuinely attractive to them. In other words, he needed to move towards them, at least in some aspects.
He hasn’t, he expects those people to come to him and unfortunately I think that will be his ultimate undoing.
To be fair, Sy, the only adjustment that would make him attractive to you is to go all-in on an EC. 🙂
“Kermit had an opportunity to make a solid play for those voters, but would’ve had to made some adjustments to be genuinely attractive to them.”
And be like Mike Huether? C’mon Sy. Kermit stays on message, and that is important. If he loses, at least he will lose an honest man.
I’ve been doing a lot of campaigning in the last three days. I also was at the “Im Scared of Muslems” Republican LinColin dinner tonight. Kermit was the first speaker and the packed room gave him quite the stand ovation. People sitting around me also had their 2 cents all doing what they could.
On the street it’s been positive especially with small businesses I’ve visited in the NW side of town. People seem to know what’s going on but when you factor the Hildebrand machine I agree. It’s gonna come down to 100 votes.
A friend of mine who has connections is a BIG sports fan. He has no clue about the economy and is snowblind of everything but the EV. I feel that is a good chunk of voters in the $65,000 to $120,000 income areas.