SouthDacola election predictions

US CONGRESS

NOEM 49% • HERSETH 48% • MARKING 3%

Do I think Steffy can still pull this off? Sure. But after the last two debates, I think Marking has stolen some ground, but I also think his vote will be split between the two candidates. With Noem’s Thune endorsement and bus tour I think it will be hard for Steffy to emerge. Oh well. It really doesn’t matter, Noem and Herseth have something in common, they are both politicians that spew worthless crap that no one cares about.

GOVERNOR’S RACE

DOOGARD 57% • HEIDI-SCOTT 43%

While Scott has been gaining ground, it is hard to compete with Doogard and raising 2x as much and campaigning for 3 years. I also think what hurts Scott is the fact that he is Republican light. There was no Democrat in the race this year.

MINNEHAHA COUNTY COMMISSION

1) BENINGA 2) BARTH 3) NESIBA

Though it pains me to see Beninga win this, I think his name recognition will put him in, I also think that is what will launch Barth (incumbent) and Nesiba.

MINNEHAHA COUNTY AUDITOR

LITZ 70% • NIPE 30%

While I would love to see Bob leave the council, I would rather it would not be this way. Nipe has virtually done NO campaigning. I couldn’t even tell you what she looks like and I have only seen ONE yard sign. Bob’s name recognition will win him this seat. It is a little scary though considering he thinks this is a ‘management job’ and not an ‘auditor job’. Maybe someone should tell him what an auditor does before he punches in on our dime the first day. He also has made the comment that the state runs 80% of his budget so it can’t be that tough of a job. Gawd help us.

IM 13

YES 50.5% • NO 49.5%

Okay, I know I am bias on this issue AND the polling doesn’t look good for IM13, BUT, think about it. How many people are going to say “Yes, I support legalizing Mary Jane.” to a pollster that knows their name? It’s different in a ballot box and polling on medical marijuana has always been off across our country. It may not pass, but I sure as Hell don’t trust the polling.

IM 12

YES 62% • NO 38%

This a forgone conclusion. People hate smoking. Done deal.